Daily Archives: August 25, 2010

Reflection: Fixing the Past

I have talked a lot today about past policies that are really not working that need to be fixed. I discussed many of the myths surrounding the Bush tax cuts, Obama’s continued failed education policy, and even our ignorance of Islam continues to grow.

Failure should never be an option, sadly it is. Republicans are running on a platform of uncertainty, but with the world continuing to not produce results that seems like a good campaign strategy. We often pine for the past, but is the past really better. People always want to go back to the world they grew up in, but is that always a better world. Nostalgia is a wonderful thing, but it should not be used to guide policy or political principles. Simply put: let’s not hope for the past too much or we might be sorry.

To sum up my posts today:

1. My theme was repeating the past
2. I talked about the missing girl in Great Bend, KS
3. I debunked myths about the Bush tax cuts
4. Pointed out the problems with Obama’s education policy
5. Uncertainty might be a good path for Republicans to run on, despite my distaste for it
6. The Ground Zero Mosque issue might be sparked by more about the Islamic religion than anything else

Thanks for reading today. I hope you enjoyed it. Remember, my posts will be more random since I will be leaving for school.

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Filed under Democrats, education, power walk, reflection, religion, Republicans

The Wedge Continues




These numbers from Pew are not all that surprising to me. The reason, an interesting correlation arises with those who are more educated have a higher tolerance of the religion. The big news will be that Republicans have a more negative view of Islam, but I will not got that route.

It saddens me that after almost 9 years after 9/11 we have tried to learn much more about Islam. The last graph shows that most people only know some or not very much about the religion. One would think that after engaging more in the Middle East than ever before or even living just living in a more globalized society might make us more aware about the religion. I wish the trend would change.

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The Future is Uncertain, So Vote For US!

The GOP is starting to sound like a magic eight ball when it comes to courting voters. The major excuse that they use is the future of the economy, healthcare, and every other issue is uncertain, so therefore vote Republican. If it does not sound logical, that’s because it isn’t. John Boehner said this yesterday about uncertainty:

Boehner says businesses are worried about the legislation that has passed and that’s likely to come. Health care and financial regulatory reform were enormous bills (more than 2,000 pages each). Much of their impact is still being figured out by the regulatory agencies. The health care law will create more than 100 new regulations, says the Chamber of Commerce, whose president focused on uncertainty in his “State of American Business” speech in January. Financial reform will require 520 new rulemakings, 81 studies, and 93 reports. Executives have to wait to hire or invest while all of this is figured out so they’ll know how much to spend on benefits and paperwork.

So stop the madness, Boehner argues. That alone will unleash economic growth. If business can be certain that Obama won’t have a congressional majority to put his schemes into legislation, they’ll come out from under the desk and start spending all that cash they’ve been hoarding while they wait for certainty.

CBS News Continues their analysis:

This advantage of this ballot-box-rescue argument is that it allows Republicans to stay light on specifics about what they would do if all of this firing took place and they had control. Boehner promised there would be a GOP agenda sometime next month, a strategy that gives Democrats limited time before the election to pick apart what’s offered (which is likely to be pretty vague, anyway). He did call for spending cuts, but not enough to tackle the deficit, especially if the Bush tax cuts are extended–which the the Congressional Budget Office says will give the economy an initial boost but then cause “daunting long-term fiscal challenges” and “reduce long-term economic growth.” Never mind all that. If the big problem can be solved by electing Republicans, those smaller details can be worked out.

The uncertainty argument also helps the GOP get out of a debate about the past. If Obama’s actions of the moment and future are to blame, then there’s no reason to talk about the policies of the previous administration and GOP Congress that may have created the current economic conditions. In response to Boehner, Vice President Joe Biden mockingly thanked him for his advice about the firings and repeated the administration charge that the GOP merely wants to return to the “exact same agenda” of the Bush years.

I would agree with that assessment that uncertainty does allow for the GOP to bypass formulating a plan, so they could attack the Democrats plan. Personally, I am not a big fan of this plan, but I do see the strategic advantages to this method:

1. People Hate Talking About Bush: Blaming Bush is what the Democrats plan to use as a counterattack to this. It might be true, but people will eventually get tired of it. A Rasmussen poll indicates that 48% blame Obama for the recession and 47% blame Bush. So, I would say that it s pretty well split. The fact is that Obama has been in power for a year and a half, so many might see this as just a lazy attack.

2. Existential Threats Sell: If a policy has not taken place yet, then it is very easy to demonize. We saw this during the healthcare debate, especially with the death panels argument. People get scared, plain and simple.

3. Seniors Scare Easily: I make this separate because I cannot emphasize enough that seniors vote in midterm elections. You can also scare them (I won’t be too hard on this point because both my grandparents read this blog), this is just a fact. Most people over the age of 65 have about a 38% approval rating of Obama, so being uncertain adds to the fire.

Sources:

CBS News
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20014717-503544.html

Rasmussen Poll
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/august_2010/48_blame_obama_for_bad_economy_47_blame_bush

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Filed under Obama, politics, power walk

Republican Wedge is Working


Yesterday, I talked about potential wedge issues that Republicans can use. The ground zero mosque (GZM) is one of those issues. An interesting survey the Pew Research Center is indicating while more news coverage is being devoted to the GZM, the interest is not that high amongst most viewers. However, the interest is high amongst Republicans. Since Republicans have more momentum this year, that will probably allow for them to use these issues more effectively.

Sources:

Pew
http://people-press.org/report/648/

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Filed under Democrats, power walk, religion, Republicans

Education Policy: Not The Great Victory

Many people had considered President Obama’s ability to create a new education policy, Race to the Top (RTTT), as innovative and creative. It actually is just like the Bush era policies and does not push us into the future. Thomas Friedman comments in his column today by discussing a new documentary he saw recently:

For too long we underpaid and undervalued our teachers and compensated them instead by giving them union perks. Over decades, though, those perks accumulated to prevent reform in too many districts. The best ones are now reforming, and the worst are facing challenges from charters.

Although the movie makes the claim that the key to student achievement is putting a great teacher in every classroom, and it is critical of the teachers’ unions and supportive of charters, it challenges all the adults who run our schools — teachers, union leaders, principals, parents, school boards, charter-founders, politicians — with one question: Are you putting kids and their education first?

Pertinent, yes, but it is just a generic criticism of the U.S. school system. The problem is that Obama did not fix the problem, he just made the system more open market. His Secretary of Education, Arne Duncan, was the Chief Executive of Chicago Schools. This school district introduced numerous reforms with very little results. An article from In These Times Magazine summarizes the reforms like this:

RTTT gives points to states if they meet specific requirements, doing the opposite of what Duncan says is the Obama administration’s objective—being tight on goals, loose on implementation. The policies Duncan urges states to implement in their quest for federal dollars include: expanding charter schools; linking teacher pay to student test scores; enabling districts to dismiss entire staffs of failing schools; weakening teacher tenure; and testing and tracking student performance even more stringently, albeit more comprehensively.

The winners of this competition were recently announced. Newsweek says they were:

Massachusetts, New York, Hawaii, Florida, Rhode Island, the District of Columbia, Maryland, Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio after the 10 were named winners of round two of the Obama administration’s national education-reform competition

Now, what is wrong with these schools you might ask? Mostly they are all East coast schools. Many rural and poor school districts did not have the funding or the grant writing ability to tackle most of the problems necessary. It is like the logic behind No Child Left Behind: taking money away from the school districts who do not meet the test standards, when they actually need federal funds the most. This system uses logic just as fallacious as that policy. Not to mention that NCLB is not changed and now it is just in a free market, winner take all system. Not to mention that Duncan’s so called “amazing record” is far from it. In These Times continues:

•In the most definitive national study to date, Stanford University researchers reported last year that only 17 percent of charter schools outperformed traditional public schools in math, with 37 percent faring worse than public schools and 46 percent measuring up equally. Chicago’s charters (without tenure protection for their mostly nonunion teachers) have performed better in math, but no differently in reading, than public schools. Chicago’s public magnet schools—where teachers have tenure and a union, but students compete for admission—scored much higher in both math and reading.

•Duncan’s much-touted RTTT encouragement of bonus payments to “good” teachers—to spur both teacher development and higher student test scores—had “no significant impact on student achievement or teacher retention” in Chicago, according to Mathematica Policy Research, a leading firm in assessing performance of social programs. (A study of a New York City merit-pay program also showed little effect on student performance.)

•RTTT priorities also reflect Duncan’s Renaissance 2010 plan—close schools, then reopen them as small schools or charters—and his “portfolio strategy,” the school plan equivalent of an investment portfolio of private and public educational “assets.” But studies by SRI International and the Chicago Consortium on School Research (affiliated with the University of Chicago) concluded that Renaissance 2010 schools only occasionally performed better than demographically similar schools and that the portfolio strategy yielded “no dramatic improvements.”

•Both Duncan and the Bush administration’s No Child Left Behind legislation encouraged increased reliance on standardized tests to measure student performance, thereby pressuring teachers to teach to the test so they and their students would “pass.” But strategies imposed on Chicago schools as a consequence for low scores—often against community and union protest—did not produce higher test scores, let alone better schools. Elementary school scores did rise sharply, but mostly because of a change in the test.

•The number of high school students who failed to meet grade-level performance remained between 69 and 73 percent from 2001 to 2008, the year before Duncan left Chicago for Washington. In 2009, the Commercial Club concluded that despite “moderate” elementary school gains, after all of Duncan’s policy changes, the city’s high schools remained “abysmal” and students were not prepared for success in college or beyond.

What needs to be addressed? Poverty in schools, changing the funding system, changing the tenure programs, smaller class sizes. It might even be helpful to develop national standards for children from sea to shining sea to learn. Right now, the track is much same as most of Obama’s agenda: half concocted and compromised until there is nothing left. Essentially, it is more of the same.

Sources:

Friedman’s Column
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/25/opinion/25friedman.html?ref=todayspaper

In These Times piece
http://www.inthesetimes.com/article/6324/can_our_schools_run_on_duncan

Newsweek
http://www.newsweek.com/2010/08/24/results-in-national-school-reform-competition-spark-outcry.html

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Filed under education, Obama, power walk