For this “ratified’ I decided to wrap up the end of the year by talking about what I got right and what I got wrong, and present a few awards.
1. “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” (DADT) Repeal: I said that if this was passed, Obama would be able to rally his liberal base. I was unsure when he would do it, but he did it his approval has gone up a little and he has made his liberal base a little happier.
2. Inner-Fighting Between Establishment and Tea Party GOP: The establishment Republican Party, the McConnell’s and Boehner’s of the world basically re-branded themselves as the Tea Party to win in November. Now, as a result, specific establishment Republicans irritated the Tea Party by passing the Bush tax cuts and have more government spending. A war that I think will continue in 2012 between these two groups.
3. Common Ground: I said that the Tea Party and liberal Democrats must find common ground on foreign policy. They did with cutting defense spending. The Tea Party wants to cut spending generally and Democrats want to cut defense spending specifically. Barney Frank and Ron Paul both lead the charge on this topic.
1. Israel-Palestine Talks: I thought that President Obama was perfect for this because he was very slow and pragmatic with negotiation. I also said getting past the settlements would be a big hurdle. Unfortunately, the talks faded. Obama did not use his strengths and neither side really conceded, so they fell apart.
2. Iran Sanctions: The sanctions targeted at Iran’s oil and gas sector and the Revolutionary Guard actually worked. I did not talk about this too much during the summer, but I thought that these sanctions would work like all others. Suddenly, Iran is wanting to start talking with the U.S. again and cutting subsidies on oil and gas to make money. The sanctions are actually hurting the economy.
3. Joe Sestak Bribe: When President Obama’s administration offered Joe Sestak of Pennsylvania a possible job in the administration in exchange for not taking on Arlen Specter for the Democratic nomination, I thought for sure this was going to be a scandal to rock the administration. It turned not to be nothing, but a short two day story and nothing came of it.