Monthly Archives: January 2012

The Catholic Church and Health Insurance

By John Stang

Via ABC News:

Catholic parishioners around the country were read letters this morning written by church leadership railing against an Obama administration ruling that requires employers to provide health insurance plans that include contraceptive coverage.

Churches and other houses of worship are exempt from the guidelines but Catholic hospitals, colleges, and social services fall under the umbrella of institutions covered by the decision.

Originally introduced last summer, the decision was lauded by abortion rights supporters. But Catholicism considers some forms of contraception termination of life and religious leaders say adherence would fly in the face of the tenets of their faith. Critics also charge it would be a violation of the Constitutional right to freedom of religion.

Since I am Catholic, I got to hear one these letters written by individual bishops on Sunday.  Despite them all being written differently, the message was pretty much the same “this new regulation violates religious liberty and forces the Roman Catholic Church to violate one of its moral doctrines.”  I have a few thoughts this matter.

First, is a philosophical one.  The role of insurance is to protect against an unforeseen event that could occur in the future.   Health insurance does this on the level of, well, health related issues.  Insurance companies can chose what to cover and not cover and who they want to cover.  Businesses and nonprofits could be extended the same courtesy if it violates a moral tenet.  On the other hand, if a group was against giving chemotherophy treatments to employees because they thought radiation and keeping life going was intrinsically wrong, then we might condemn that action for hurting the common good.  So, there is an imperative to look at when considering this topic of which ethics are good and which could be harmful?  That continuum is not an easy one though.

Second, is a policy perspective and a practical point.  I’m guessing that if someone works for a Catholic related organization, they already consider themselves to be pretty supportive of the doctrines of the Catholic Church.  So, very few people employed by Catholic Church would probably have an abortion to begin with.  However, a large number of Catholic women do use contraception against the Church’s teaching anyway, which in my view could be kind of a losing battle against the tide of modernity.  I think both these questions, abortion and contraception should not be lumped together because the policy and ethical debates are quite different for both.

Third, is for liberals.  There are two values of liberalism and progressivism being debated here, for the sake of argument I will lump both together here.  One is the notion expanding the writes for women to chose abortions and contraception if they need it without worry, which I support.  The other is letting religious organizations decide have the freedom to chose, although the continuum does get grey really fast.  This is where progressives and liberals do have to chose one value over the other.  Is it a choice of coverage or choice or protecting religious liberty.  Both have conflicting problems here and are not easily solvable.

Finally, I think this type of religious activism is a good thing.  We just saw the impact of grassroots organization on tabling the SOPA/PIPA legislation.  Not to mention the Occupy Wall Street and Tea Party Movements have increased political engagement at the local level.  With the Catholic vote hardly a united front, a topic like this could be a good grassroots motivation that the Church could use to rally Catholics together.  From a political science perspective, it will be interesting to see where this goes.

None of these are easy questions.  There will be some conversation going on about religious liberty and the ethical understanding of insurance.  I expect several court challenges and strong wind towards grassroots religious activism.

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The Right’s Latest Obama-Soros Conspiracy Theory

By Luke Brinker

One of the right’s favorite hobbyhorses is the theory that President Barack Obama and the “Democratic machine” are puppets of billionaire financier and liberal philanthropist George Soros. Thanks to the intrepid reporting Andrew Breitbart (last seen brandishing a photo of Anthony Weiner’s male member) and his Big Government site, we now know that President Obama’s recent call for increased natural gas production stems from Soros’s investments in natural gas:

But hidden behind the scenes is another multi-billionaire, one with a much more sinister motive than mere profit. A man who’s vast fortune of nearly $7 billion is being used to subvert nearly every American institution to conform with his dream of a worldwide socialist utopia.

George Soros.

According to the website GuruFocus, which tracks the investment habits and portfolio trends of some of the world’s richest people, George Soros has made some intrigiung investments into alternative fuel companies of late, specifically those at the forefront of natural gas. This would not be so troubling except that, as GuruFocus points out, Soros has accurately predicted both economic bubbles and quickly growing industries. As a result, Soros’s funds have turned out a 30% return on investments since their inception.

Ah, yes – the “multi-billionaire” who is “hidden behind the scenes,” harboring a “sinister motive.” Need I even mention that Soros is Jewish, or does the innuendo suffice? (Yes, Breitbart, too, is Jewish, but remember that the right  never hesitates to dismiss Jewish critics of the Israeli government as “self-hating Jews.”)

Not that this laughably flimsy conspiracy theory merits any response other than sheer ridicule, but it’s worth noting that  Obama’s support for natural gas isn’t exactly new. For instance, he advocated stepped-up production in his 2008 Democratic National Convention acceptance speech.

At any rate, it’s fun to witness the free market-loving right suddenly cast suspicion on those profiting from their investments. Oh, right – it’s only “crony” capitalism the right despises. Good thing they spoke out when Halliburton, once led by Dick Cheney, was winning no-bid contracts in Iraq. Oh wait…

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The GOP’s Dilemma: Tea Party or the Future?

By Luke Brinker

When the Tea Party emerged in 2009, its leaders asserted that the movement represented a dynamic new force in American politics. Motivated by a visceral hostility to the bailout and stimulus policies of Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama, Tea Party activists would emphasize the free market and small government, not social issues.

In reality, the Tea Party is not so much a new force as an emboldened old one. The profile of the typical Tea Party member is that of a typical member of the Republican Party base. Tea Party supporters tend to be older voters who identify as conservatives (including on social issues) and watch Fox News. Tea Party membership is also correlated with racist attitudes and fierce opposition to the rights of undocumented immigrants. For all their self-professed independence from the two major parties, Tea Partiers are partisan, conservative Republicans.

Because it’s virtually impossible to win a party’s nomination without support from the party base, Republican candidates are heavily reliant upon Tea Party support in primary elections. A Washington Post-Pew poll in October found that while only 32 percent of Americans overall sympathize with the movement, 63 percent of Republicans express Tea Party support. To paraphrase the legendary Chicago columnist Mike Royko, a Republican who would seek office by denouncing the Tea Party is an individual who would probably begin a diet by shooting himself in the stomach.

But while courting the Tea Party may serve the GOP’s immediate interests, adopting Tea Party policies could prove electorally disastrous in the long-term. Mitt Romney has reversed his positions on abortion, gay rights, and immigration to appeal to core GOP voters, which may well help propel him to the presidential nomination, but such hard-core conservative views are out of step with long-range trends. A recent survey found that 71 percent of college freshmen (including 43 percent of self-described conservatives) support same-sex marriage. Sixty one percent espoused pro-choice views. Younger voters are also more likely than older voters to perceive gaping economic inequality as a major problem. (And contrary to popular belief, people don’t usually become more conservative as they age.) Finally, with the nation’s Latino population expected to triple by 2050, right-wing anti-immigration views endanger the GOP’s hold on even the most reliably Republican states, including Texas.

To remain relevant in the 2020s and beyond, the GOP will need to adopt a more socially tolerant, immigrant-friendly stance, and be willing to address mounting concerns about economic inequality with more than a promise to discuss the problem in “quiet rooms.” Republicans attuned to this reality do exist; former presidential candidate Jon Huntsman, for instance, supports civil unions (albeit not same-sex marriage, at least yet), endorses the scientific consensus on climate change, refuses to adopt the conservative base’s harsh anti-immigration rhetoric, and says he understands why the Occupy Wall Street movement is upset (even if his economic policies mostly adhere to conservative orthodoxy). What remains to be seen is whether in future years the GOP will listen to Huntsman or its aging, dwindling Tea Party base

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5 Things that Impact Election Races

By John Stang

Luke wrote yesterday about how money can have an impact on the political system, tracing he historical roots of the problem.  With the rise of Super Pacs as a result of the Citizens United Supreme Court decision, the idea of money affecting political races can be seen right before our eyes.  I wanted to point to some factors that can tun opinion very quickly.  None of these are the only reason for changing races, but they can have the most impact:

1. Do as the “Establishment” does:  Every election cycle, regardless of party, there is this boogeyman (sorry, I mean wise pooh-bahs) that hide in the shadows to decide who the nominee of each party is going to be.  At least, that is how the media portrays them.  In reality, its just bunch of rich donors that  are staunch supporters of one party or another, and, here’s the kicker, they organize and vote in primaries.  For the Republicans, this is the Bob Dole/George H.W. Bush types that run the old fashion party of business and are supporting Mitt Romney.  Usually, they support the next guy in line. Newt Gingrich is trying to court the populist side of the party by explaining how he’s been victimized by the “establishment” conspiracy.  For Democrats, the establishment can include old hands in the party, like the late Ted Kennedy or Robert Byrd.  As a college student in the Virginia, I notice that many of the Southern Democrats do vote based on the “establishment.” Ted Kennedy was also a key endorsement for Obama in 2008.  Sometimes the establishment can’t stear an election, aka Christine O’Donnell or Sharon Angle.  I would argue that 85% of the time though, the establishment will have the upper hand in choosing candidates.  After all, they are the party leaders and the most organized.

2. 24 hour news and the blogosphere:  There are 2 ways that I see 24-hour news channels making a difference in a race.  First, the incessant repeating of stories over and over again.  If it’s negative, then that politician will have a deep hole to climb out of because if man hear’s a story in a repetitive fashion, it goes unquestioned; this makes it like a free negative campaign ad for the other politician who is not implicated in the story.  Second, the pure partisanship of a network can make a difference.  Fox News has the power to shape conservative thinking because it takes conservative talk radio and blog information and regurgitates it as news.  MSNBC tries to do the same thing, although liberals do not consume media in such a hierarchical fashion, so it does not work as well.  Although, liberals will often link information from blog to blog, getting the message out very quickly.  Watch sometime how Fox talks about Newt Gingrich versus Mitt Romney, there is clear populist tone.  Now, that is not to say it works all the time.  I would contend that not all conservatives or Republicans watch Fox, but it can spark anger on issues that are critical for Gingrich’s base, like hating the main stream media.

3.  Character Assassination Attempts:  More and more, people are starting to look at a candidates character to decide their presidential quality.  We’ve developed idiotic tests like “who would you rather have a beer with?” or “who do you want answering the phone at 3 am?”  Often, these tests have very little to do with policy debates and look like a TMZ profile.  Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, Bain Capital, and Willie Horton all discuss the integrity of a particular candidate.  While voters might vote on other things.  In the back of their minds, these mundane attacks can seal the deal.

4. When the time is right, will you be ready?:  Timing is everything in politics.  The correct placement of ads, good wording in a speech, or even shaking the right person’s hand all have the chance to change the outcome of a race.  There is a reason that Rick Santorum surged in Iowa at the last minute, he had not been brutally attacked and the Evangelicals swarmed around him.  Newt Gingrich also had a good debate performance in South Carolina close the vote, while Mitt Romney flopped at the wrong time.  The reverse could be true in Florida.  Some attacks are effective or misfires, even if they look good on paper, depending on the mood of the people.  If it comes off at just the right moment, everything can change.

5. Shrewd Calculators:  Remember, voters are not oblivious to the national scene.  They have two choices. Either pick the candidate that matches their values or the one who can win, sometimes it’s all the same package deal.  Gingrich has the momentum and Romney looks like the man to win the general election.  If someone is very active in politics and is an active party member, then like a sports bet, he can chose who has the better chance of winning.  Not everyone votes like this, but consider that primary voters are the more hardcore vote.  Sometimes, that means they vote with their gut, but they also want their party to win too.  Informed voters can be almost as calculating as a political consultant.

 

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In Politics, Is Money the Root of All Evil?

By Luke Brinker

Veteran political journalist Elizabeth Drew’s essay on the rise of super PACs and their impact on the 2012 campaign concludes on an ominous note:

Citizens are now faced with evidence of the growing power of organized moneyed interests in the electoral system at the same time that the nation is more aware than ever that the inequality among income groups has grown dramatically and economic difficulties are persistent. This is a dangerous brew. Political power is shifting to the very monied interests that four decades of reform effort have tried to contain. The election system is being reshaped by the Super PACs and the greatly increased power of those who contribute to them to choose the candidates who best suit their purposes. But little attention is being paid to the fact that our system of electing a president is under siege. While the political press is excitedly telling us how the polls on Friday compare with the ones on Tuesday, little notice is taken of the danger to the democratic system itself.

Much of the citizenry has become more restive—less accepting of the way things are. Can an election that’s being subjected to such seriously self-interested contortions be accepted by the public as having been arrived at in a fair manner? And what will happen if it can’t?

All of these are valid points. Indeed, empirical evidence buttresses Drew’s concern that in this age of money-soaked politics, the voices of the 99 percent are drowned out. In a recent paper, Princeton University political scientist Martin Gillens found that the policy preferences of the rich are most salient among policymakers. (Although, as Matthew Yglesias argued, this may be attributable to socialization; presidents and members of Congress tend to go to the same schools and live in the same neighborhoods as the elite.) The question, then, is whether money itself produces policy outcomes that ignore vital issues of income inequality and basic fairness.

As Drew notes in her piece, the recent history of campaign finance reform began in the wake of the Watergate scandal. Congress passed a law in 1974 establishing public financing for presidential campaigns and limiting both the amount of money individuals could give to campaigns and the amount congressional campaigns could spend. The Supreme Court upheld the law in its 1976 Buckley v. Valeo decision.

Somewhat paradoxically, the pre-Buckley era was the Augustan Age for American egalitarianism. In his book Supercapitalism, economist Robert Reich writes that “[i]n 1963, Congress passed six out of ten bills designed to reduce economic inequality. In 1979, it passed four out of seven … [and] in 1991, two out of seven” (p. 166). In other words, policymakers did more to address the concerns of the lower, working, and middle classes back when rich donors could give unlimited amounts of money directly to campaigns.

What distinguishes 1963 from 1991 or 2012 is that American labor has witnessed its power diminish significantly since mid-century. While public sector employees remain relatively strongly unionized (37 percent belonged to a union in 2011, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics), the unionization rate among private sector workers was a mere 6.9 percent. In 2010, the overall unionization rate (including public and private sector workers) was 12.3 percent. Contrast that with the mid-1950s, when 35 percent of American workers belonged to a labor union. This was the context in which John Kenneth Galbraith wrote American Capitalism, in which the Harvard economist introduced the concept of “countervailing power.” In the American system, Galbraith wrote, the trifecta of big business, big labor, and big government worked both to plan the national economy and to counter-balance each other, so that no one force became too overweening in its grip on the nation. Fast forward to 2012, and there is no “big labor” of which to speak. Defenders of super PACs invariably respond to liberal critiques of corporate money in politics by pointing out, correctly, that unions are also permitted unlimited donations to super PACs. But to pretend that unions have anywhere near the clout of American corporations is disingenuous.

Part of labor’s decline can be explained by the forces of globalization; in a global economy with cheap Chinese labor readily available, unions pushing for increased wages and benefits have less bargaining power. These global economic realities simply did not exist at mid-century. Yet conscious political choices have also played an essential role in weakening unions. Take Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker’s move last year to strip state employees of their collective bargaining rights. Take Ohio Gov. John Kasich’s (voter-overturned) decision to do the same. Take Gov. Mitch Daniels’s signing of Indiana’s new right to work law, which effectively means that employees can free-ride on unions, benefiting from the concessions and benefits that union leaders win but not having to pay membership dues. These policies emerge thanks to political actors, not impersonal economic forces.

There’s much to be said for reining in money in politics. When Sheldon Adelson and his wife can keep Newt Gingrich’s presidential campaign alive simply by writing a $10 million check to a  Gingrich super PAC, it is not unreasonable to worry about the decline of citizen power in our democracy. But elections are about who gets to make policy, and if policies that reduce inequality and pursue greater fairness are what we care about, we could do a lot worse than to realize that money itself is not the root of our present woes.

Update: As Steven Greenhouse of the New York Times reports, the BLS has just released unionization figures for 2011, and the decline continues. Last year, the overall unionization rate was 11.8 percent.

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