Tag Archives: economic inequality

The GOP’s Dilemma: Tea Party or the Future?

By Luke Brinker

When the Tea Party emerged in 2009, its leaders asserted that the movement represented a dynamic new force in American politics. Motivated by a visceral hostility to the bailout and stimulus policies of Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama, Tea Party activists would emphasize the free market and small government, not social issues.

In reality, the Tea Party is not so much a new force as an emboldened old one. The profile of the typical Tea Party member is that of a typical member of the Republican Party base. Tea Party supporters tend to be older voters who identify as conservatives (including on social issues) and watch Fox News. Tea Party membership is also correlated with racist attitudes and fierce opposition to the rights of undocumented immigrants. For all their self-professed independence from the two major parties, Tea Partiers are partisan, conservative Republicans.

Because it’s virtually impossible to win a party’s nomination without support from the party base, Republican candidates are heavily reliant upon Tea Party support in primary elections. A Washington Post-Pew poll in October found that while only 32 percent of Americans overall sympathize with the movement, 63 percent of Republicans express Tea Party support. To paraphrase the legendary Chicago columnist Mike Royko, a Republican who would seek office by denouncing the Tea Party is an individual who would probably begin a diet by shooting himself in the stomach.

But while courting the Tea Party may serve the GOP’s immediate interests, adopting Tea Party policies could prove electorally disastrous in the long-term. Mitt Romney has reversed his positions on abortion, gay rights, and immigration to appeal to core GOP voters, which may well help propel him to the presidential nomination, but such hard-core conservative views are out of step with long-range trends. A recent survey found that 71 percent of college freshmen (including 43 percent of self-described conservatives) support same-sex marriage. Sixty one percent espoused pro-choice views. Younger voters are also more likely than older voters to perceive gaping economic inequality as a major problem. (And contrary to popular belief, people don’t usually become more conservative as they age.) Finally, with the nation’s Latino population expected to triple by 2050, right-wing anti-immigration views endanger the GOP’s hold on even the most reliably Republican states, including Texas.

To remain relevant in the 2020s and beyond, the GOP will need to adopt a more socially tolerant, immigrant-friendly stance, and be willing to address mounting concerns about economic inequality with more than a promise to discuss the problem in “quiet rooms.” Republicans attuned to this reality do exist; former presidential candidate Jon Huntsman, for instance, supports civil unions (albeit not same-sex marriage, at least yet), endorses the scientific consensus on climate change, refuses to adopt the conservative base’s harsh anti-immigration rhetoric, and says he understands why the Occupy Wall Street movement is upset (even if his economic policies mostly adhere to conservative orthodoxy). What remains to be seen is whether in future years the GOP will listen to Huntsman or its aging, dwindling Tea Party base

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Filed under political parties, Republicans, tea party

In Politics, Is Money the Root of All Evil?

By Luke Brinker

Veteran political journalist Elizabeth Drew’s essay on the rise of super PACs and their impact on the 2012 campaign concludes on an ominous note:

Citizens are now faced with evidence of the growing power of organized moneyed interests in the electoral system at the same time that the nation is more aware than ever that the inequality among income groups has grown dramatically and economic difficulties are persistent. This is a dangerous brew. Political power is shifting to the very monied interests that four decades of reform effort have tried to contain. The election system is being reshaped by the Super PACs and the greatly increased power of those who contribute to them to choose the candidates who best suit their purposes. But little attention is being paid to the fact that our system of electing a president is under siege. While the political press is excitedly telling us how the polls on Friday compare with the ones on Tuesday, little notice is taken of the danger to the democratic system itself.

Much of the citizenry has become more restive—less accepting of the way things are. Can an election that’s being subjected to such seriously self-interested contortions be accepted by the public as having been arrived at in a fair manner? And what will happen if it can’t?

All of these are valid points. Indeed, empirical evidence buttresses Drew’s concern that in this age of money-soaked politics, the voices of the 99 percent are drowned out. In a recent paper, Princeton University political scientist Martin Gillens found that the policy preferences of the rich are most salient among policymakers. (Although, as Matthew Yglesias argued, this may be attributable to socialization; presidents and members of Congress tend to go to the same schools and live in the same neighborhoods as the elite.) The question, then, is whether money itself produces policy outcomes that ignore vital issues of income inequality and basic fairness.

As Drew notes in her piece, the recent history of campaign finance reform began in the wake of the Watergate scandal. Congress passed a law in 1974 establishing public financing for presidential campaigns and limiting both the amount of money individuals could give to campaigns and the amount congressional campaigns could spend. The Supreme Court upheld the law in its 1976 Buckley v. Valeo decision.

Somewhat paradoxically, the pre-Buckley era was the Augustan Age for American egalitarianism. In his book Supercapitalism, economist Robert Reich writes that “[i]n 1963, Congress passed six out of ten bills designed to reduce economic inequality. In 1979, it passed four out of seven … [and] in 1991, two out of seven” (p. 166). In other words, policymakers did more to address the concerns of the lower, working, and middle classes back when rich donors could give unlimited amounts of money directly to campaigns.

What distinguishes 1963 from 1991 or 2012 is that American labor has witnessed its power diminish significantly since mid-century. While public sector employees remain relatively strongly unionized (37 percent belonged to a union in 2011, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics), the unionization rate among private sector workers was a mere 6.9 percent. In 2010, the overall unionization rate (including public and private sector workers) was 12.3 percent. Contrast that with the mid-1950s, when 35 percent of American workers belonged to a labor union. This was the context in which John Kenneth Galbraith wrote American Capitalism, in which the Harvard economist introduced the concept of “countervailing power.” In the American system, Galbraith wrote, the trifecta of big business, big labor, and big government worked both to plan the national economy and to counter-balance each other, so that no one force became too overweening in its grip on the nation. Fast forward to 2012, and there is no “big labor” of which to speak. Defenders of super PACs invariably respond to liberal critiques of corporate money in politics by pointing out, correctly, that unions are also permitted unlimited donations to super PACs. But to pretend that unions have anywhere near the clout of American corporations is disingenuous.

Part of labor’s decline can be explained by the forces of globalization; in a global economy with cheap Chinese labor readily available, unions pushing for increased wages and benefits have less bargaining power. These global economic realities simply did not exist at mid-century. Yet conscious political choices have also played an essential role in weakening unions. Take Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker’s move last year to strip state employees of their collective bargaining rights. Take Ohio Gov. John Kasich’s (voter-overturned) decision to do the same. Take Gov. Mitch Daniels’s signing of Indiana’s new right to work law, which effectively means that employees can free-ride on unions, benefiting from the concessions and benefits that union leaders win but not having to pay membership dues. These policies emerge thanks to political actors, not impersonal economic forces.

There’s much to be said for reining in money in politics. When Sheldon Adelson and his wife can keep Newt Gingrich’s presidential campaign alive simply by writing a $10 million check to a  Gingrich super PAC, it is not unreasonable to worry about the decline of citizen power in our democracy. But elections are about who gets to make policy, and if policies that reduce inequality and pursue greater fairness are what we care about, we could do a lot worse than to realize that money itself is not the root of our present woes.

Update: As Steven Greenhouse of the New York Times reports, the BLS has just released unionization figures for 2011, and the decline continues. Last year, the overall unionization rate was 11.8 percent.

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Filed under 2012 Election, campaign finance

Income Inequality and the ‘Opportunity Society’

By Luke Brinker

Willard Mitt Romney – son of George, the former American Motor Co. CEO, governor of Michigan, and secretary of Housing and Urban Development – has been lecturing President Barack Obama, son of single mother Ann, on the necessity of fostering an “opportunity society.” The probable GOP presidential nominee sets up a dichotomy between an egalitarian “European-style social welfare state” and a society in which “free people living under a limited government choose whether or not to pursue education, engage in hard work, and pursue the passion of their ideas and dreams.” In extolling the virtues of the “opportunity society,” Romney recycles the rhetoric of anti-egalitarians who pledge fealty to equality of opportunity while eschewing any role for government in alleviating socioeconomic disparities. Centrist pundits like the Washington Post’s Charles Lane have largely accepted Romney’s argument about the futility of an attack on income inequality.

What makes Romney’s platitudes about the “opportunity society” so spurious is that liberal egalitarians don’t oppose allowing people to “pursue education, engage in hard work, and pursue the passion of their ideas and dreams.” Indeed, Romney and Lane’s downplaying of income inequality makes that noble pursuit considerably more difficult. Via Paul Krugman, here’s a graph demonstrating the strong correlation between income inequality and social immobility:

(Note how much better totalitarian hellholes/European social welfare states perform on these measures.)

Willard says we can only talk about the sensitive issue of inequality in “quiet rooms,” but if he truly cares about allowing people to freely pursue their dreams, he’ll acknowledge the clear link between socioeconomic inequality and the decline of social mobility in the United States.

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Why Mitt Romney is Mr. One Percent

By Luke Brimker

Suzy Khimm flags a new Congressional Research Service report examining the growth of income inequality between 1996 and 2006. The report identified capital gains and dividends as the largest culprit behind the increasing wealth gap:

Changes in income from capital gains and dividends were the single largest contributor to rising income inequality between 1996 and 2006. Changes in tax policy also made a significant contribution to the increase in income inequality, but even in the absence of tax policy changes income inequality would likely have increased. Although earning inequality increased between 1996 and 2006, changes in wages and salaries appear to have had little effect on the increase in overall income inequality.

Those who earn most of their income from capital gains – people like investor Warren Buffett, hedge funder John Paulson, and former Bain Capital CEO Mitt Romney – pay dramatically lower taxes than those who derive most of their annual pay from wages and salaries. While the top salary bracket pays a federal income tax of 35 percent, the capital gains tax is a mere 15 percent. (Under President Ronald Reagan, it was 28 percent, as was the top income tax bracket.)

Occupy Wall Street has brought much-needed attention to deeply embedded socioeconomic inequalities in the United States, and the preference from capital gains-based income serves as an illustrative example of the divide between the one percent (or, more accurately, a fraction of the top percent) and the rest. Partly because the public is increasingly attuned to the inequality problem, Romney has decided against releasing his tax returns. (He’s running for office, for Pete’s sake!) As Josh Marshall of Talking Points Memo explains, those returns would surely show that Romney is a huge beneficiary of tax rules that favor the very wealthy:

We already know Mitt Romney is a really, really wealthy guy. But there have been a lot of rich presidential candidates. And, though he was born to wealth, Romney also made a lot of money himself. He’s also said he’ll release information about his wealth, his assets … a lot of stuff. But just not the tax returns.

So what’s the deal? It’s pretty simple. We might say that a specter is haunting Mitt Romney — the specter of the Buffett Rule.

That’s right, we haven’t heard a lot about the so-called Buffett Rule in a while but it’s the concept pushed by kabillionaire Warren Buffett and embraced by Democrats and particularly the White House, which says that the superwealthy should not pay lower tax rates than your average secretary or auto mechanic or office manager or anybody else who gets by on a salary.

It’s a very resonant concept. It makes intuitive sense to people. Overwhelmingly the public supports the idea. And it’s very easy to understand.

This is Romney’s problem. While we don’t know the specifics of Romney’s tax returns, we know enough about his finances and sources of incomes to know that he is likely the poster-boy for the Buffett Rule. As Romney likes to say, he’s unemployed. He doesn’t draw a salary. But he seems to still be making big big money off capital gains which are currently taxed at a very low rate. He doesn’t seem to have drawn a salary at any time recently. So he likely pays no payroll taxes. And that’s before you get into legal but aggressive tax-sheltering. It seems virtually impossible that Mitt Romney doesn’t pay the sort of effective tax rate that would make people’s eyes pop when compared to middle income and even relatively wealthy (by normal standards) people who pay considerably higher rates.

Expect Romney’s unwillingness to release his tax returns to be a major issue in the general election if, as is probable, Romney becomes the Republican presidential nominee. Any Obama campaign strategist worth his or her salt knows that Romney will have a difficult time explaining to voters why he, a man with an estimated net worth of up to $250 million, pays the same rate of tax as those earning between $8,500 and $34,500 per year.

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Filed under Mitt Romney, Occupy Wall Street